On top of that, you can spot the Philadelphia defense up in the top right corner of that graph. This is a defense that can double team Terry McLaurin without getting torched by Dyami Brown or Olamide Zaccheaus. That should be enough to result in a win by seven points or more — though I do hate betting against the Commanders Cinderella story.

Greif: Philadelphia will beat Washington in the NFC because the Commanders’ defense has been leaky (allowing 25.5 points per game in the postseason, 9.5 more than Philadelphia), while the Eagles have ranked among the league’s elite defenses all season; by one metric, they stand tied for the league lead in allowing the lowest success rate.

There are only four teams left standing in the NFL and just like we all predicted before the season, the Washington Commanders are one of them. Just kidding, no one predicted that. Not even Commanders fans.

Who will win Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles game? NFL playoff picks, predictions, odds, win probabilities for Sunday's postseason game.

The Washington Commanders are in the NFC championship game after going 12-5 in the regular season and winning two playoff games

The Philadelphia Eagles will host NFC East foe Washington Commanders in Sunday's NFC Championship game. The two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs will then host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship game.

Nothing about the season the Washington Commanders have had in 2024-25, especially during the playoffs, has made any sense. They have a rookie QB. They have a first-year head coach. They have a first-year general manager.