Nvidia shares' 9% recovery Tuesday was the second-best day in terms of market cap added for any company ever, trailing only a record it set in July.

It has been 26 years since Nvidia has gone public. The stock has crashed in four of these years. So it's certainly possible that Nvidia's stock price will reverse and turn south in 2025. In fact, I think 2025 is a year that is more likely than most of a drop in stock price. Here's why.

Nvidia stock rose early Tuesday as the AI chipmaker began to recover from a massive decline the prior day that shaved nearly $600 billion off its market cap.